Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Brazilian Real (BRL) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, underlying factors influencing these movements, and potential future outlooks for the BRL/CHF currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of May 3, 2025, the BRL/CHF exchange rate stands at approximately 0.1526, meaning one Brazilian Real is equivalent to 0.1526 Swiss Francs. Over the past 90 days, the exchange rate has exhibited a range between a high of 0.1590 and a low of 0.1433, with an average rate of 0.1515.

In February 2025, the exchange rate fluctuated between 0.1526 and 0.1592, indicating a period of relative stability with minor fluctuations. However, a slight downward trend was observed in March 2025, with the rate decreasing from 0.1551 on March 5 to 0.1501 by March 11.

Factors Influencing the BRL/CHF Exchange Rate

Several factors have contributed to the recent movements in the BRL/CHF exchange rate:

1. Economic Performance and Monetary Policies: Brazil's economic indicators, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rates set by the Central Bank of Brazil, play a significant role in determining the strength of the Real. Similarly, Switzerland's economic performance and the Swiss National Bank's monetary policies influence the value of the Franc. Divergences in these economic indicators and policies can lead to fluctuations in the exchange rate.

2. Global Market Sentiment: The Swiss Franc is often considered a safe-haven currency, attracting investors during times of global economic uncertainty. Periods of increased risk aversion can lead to an appreciation of the CHF against other currencies, including the BRL.

3. Commodity Prices: Brazil's economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports. Fluctuations in global commodity prices can impact Brazil's trade balance and, consequently, the value of the Real.

4. Political Developments: Political stability and policy decisions in both Brazil and Switzerland can influence investor confidence and affect currency valuations.

Technical Analysis

As of January 11, 2025, technical indicators for the BRL/CHF pair suggested a "Buy" signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 56.348, indicating moderate momentum. Moving averages, including the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day, all signaled a "Buy," reflecting a positive trend at that time.

Future Outlook

Forecasts for the BRL/CHF exchange rate suggest a potential decline. Analysts predict that the rate may decrease from 0.156 to 0.150, representing a change of approximately -3.635%. This projection is based on current economic trends and market expectations.

Conclusion

The BRL/CHF exchange rate has experienced moderate fluctuations over the past few months, influenced by economic performance, global market sentiment, commodity prices, and political developments. While technical indicators previously suggested a positive trend, recent forecasts indicate a potential decline in the exchange rate. Investors and stakeholders should monitor these factors closely to make informed decisions regarding the BRL/CHF currency pair.