Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Swedish Krona (SEK) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. Understanding these movements requires an examination of recent trends, technical indicators, and potential future projections.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of March 14, 2025, the CHF/SEK exchange rate stood at 11.4224, marking a 1.01% decrease from the previous day. Over the preceding month, the pair exhibited a high of 11.9983 and a low of 11.3089, indicating a range of approximately 0.6894. This period reflects a downward trend, with the Swiss Franc depreciating against the Swedish Krona by about 3.87%. (investing.com)

In the broader context, the exchange rate has shown moderate volatility. Over the past year, the CHF/SEK pair fluctuated between a low of 11.581 and a high of 12.441, resulting in a variance of 0.86 and a volatility rate of 7.43%. (currencylive.com)

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators as of March 21, 2025, provide a mixed outlook for the CHF/SEK pair:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 48.85 (Neutral)
• Stochastic Oscillator (9,6): 55.857 (Buy)
• Stochastic RSI (14): 93.572 (Overbought)
• MACD (12,26): -0.004 (Sell)
• Average Directional Index (ADX 14): 29.177 (Buy)
• Williams %R: -36.113 (Buy)
• Commodity Channel Index (CCI 14): 92.2101 (Buy)
• Average True Range (ATR 14): 0.014 (Less Volatility)
• Ultimate Oscillator: 40.391 (Sell)
• Rate of Change (ROC): -0.161 (Sell)
• Bull/Bear Power (13): 0.0054 (Buy)

The summary of these indicators suggests a "Buy" signal, with five indicators recommending buying, two neutral, and three suggesting selling. (investing.com)

Moving averages also present a mixed picture:

• Simple Moving Averages (SMA): Short-term (5-day and 10-day) SMAs indicate a "Buy" signal, while the 20-day and 50-day SMAs suggest a "Sell."
• Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Similarly, short-term EMAs are in the "Buy" zone, whereas longer-term EMAs lean towards "Sell."

This divergence between short-term and long-term moving averages indicates potential short-term bullishness amidst a longer-term bearish trend.

Forecast and Outlook

Forecasts for the CHF/SEK exchange rate vary among analysts:

• Short-Term Forecast: In one month, the exchange rate is projected to be 12.2379, representing a 6.65% increase from the current rate. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Medium-Term Forecast: In four months, the rate is expected to reach 12.269, a 6.92% increase. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Long-Term Forecast: By December 2025, some projections suggest a decrease to a range between 9.70 and 9.94, indicating a potential depreciation of approximately 14.22% from current levels. (coincodex.com)

These varying forecasts highlight the uncertainty and differing opinions regarding the future direction of the CHF/SEK pair.

Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several factors contribute to the fluctuations in the CHF/SEK exchange rate:

• Economic Indicators: Differences in economic performance between Switzerland and Sweden, including GDP growth, employment rates, and trade balances, can influence currency strength.

• Monetary Policy: Decisions by the Swiss National Bank and the Riksbank regarding interest rates and monetary policy can impact investor sentiment and currency valuation.

• Global Market Sentiment: As a traditional safe-haven currency, the Swiss Franc often appreciates during periods of global uncertainty, affecting its exchange rate against other currencies, including the Swedish Krona.

• Commodity Prices: Sweden's economy is sensitive to commodity prices, particularly in the forestry and mining sectors. Fluctuations in these markets can impact the SEK's strength relative to the CHF.

Conclusion

The CHF/SEK exchange rate has exhibited moderate volatility over the past year, with recent trends indicating a depreciation of the Swiss Franc against the Swedish Krona. Technical indicators provide mixed signals, suggesting potential short-term bullishness but longer-term bearishness. Forecasts vary, reflecting uncertainty in the market. Investors should consider these factors, along with economic indicators and monetary policies, when making decisions related to this currency pair.