Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Chinese Yuan (CNY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. Understanding these movements requires an examination of recent trends, underlying economic factors, and technical analyses.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

From January to June 2025, the CNY/CHF exchange rate exhibited a downward trajectory. On January 31, 2025, the rate peaked at 0.1268 CHF per CNY. By June 30, 2025, it had declined to 0.1107 CHF per CNY, marking a decrease of approximately 12.7% over this period. (exchange-rates.org)

Economic Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several economic factors have contributed to the observed depreciation of the Chinese Yuan against the Swiss Franc:

• Interest Rate Differentials: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a relatively stable monetary policy, while the People's Bank of China (PBOC) has implemented measures to stimulate economic growth, including interest rate cuts. These differing approaches have influenced investor preferences, favoring the Swiss Franc.

• Trade Balances: Switzerland's trade surplus and China's trade dynamics have impacted currency valuations. A stronger Swiss trade balance can lead to increased demand for the CHF, appreciating its value against other currencies.

• Economic Performance: Switzerland's stable economic indicators contrast with China's moderated growth rates, affecting investor confidence and currency strength.

Technical Analysis

As of May 23, 2025, technical indicators suggested a bearish outlook for the CNY/CHF pair:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 38.424, indicating potential oversold conditions.

• Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages signaled a 'Sell' position, reflecting downward momentum.

• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Displayed a negative value, supporting the bearish trend.

(investing.com)

Forecasts and Projections

Looking ahead, forecasts indicate a continued depreciation of the CNY against the CHF:

• Short-Term Forecasts: Projections for July 2025 suggest the CNY/CHF rate may average around 0.1069 CHF per CNY, with potential fluctuations between 0.1033 and 0.1138 CHF. (coincodex.com)

• Long-Term Forecasts: Over the next five years, the CNY/CHF exchange rate is anticipated to decline further, potentially reaching 0.0836 CHF per CNY, representing a decrease of approximately 27.34% from current levels. (coincodex.com)

Implications for Stakeholders

The depreciation of the Chinese Yuan against the Swiss Franc carries several implications:

• Importers and Exporters: Chinese exporters to Switzerland may find their goods more competitively priced, potentially boosting exports. Conversely, Swiss exporters to China might face higher costs, potentially reducing demand.

• Investors: Those holding assets denominated in CHF may experience gains, while investments in CNY-denominated assets could see diminished returns.

• Travelers: Chinese tourists visiting Switzerland may find their purchasing power reduced, affecting travel and spending behaviors.

Conclusion

The CNY/CHF exchange rate has been on a declining trend in recent months, influenced by economic policies, trade balances, and market sentiments. Technical analyses and forecasts suggest this trend may continue in the near to medium term. Stakeholders should monitor these developments closely to make informed decisions in this evolving financial landscape.