Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Mexican Peso (MXN) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) has exhibited notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report provides an in-depth analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and future forecasts for the MXN/JPY currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

Over the past six months, the MXN/JPY exchange rate has experienced significant volatility. On January 7, 2025, the rate peaked at 7.7746 JPY per MXN. Subsequently, it declined to a low of 7.0050 JPY per MXN on April 8, 2025. As of July 1, 2025, the exchange rate stands at 7.6633 JPY per MXN, reflecting a modest increase of approximately 0.07% over the six-month period. (exchange-rates.org)

Technical Analysis

Moving Averages:

As of June 30, 2025, the MXN/JPY pair is trading above several key moving averages, indicating bullish momentum:

• 5-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): 7.6669 (Buy signal)
• 10-day SMA: 7.6720 (Buy signal)
• 20-day SMA: 7.6657 (Buy signal)
• 50-day SMA: 7.6648 (Buy signal)
• 100-day SMA: 7.6603 (Buy signal)
• 200-day SMA: 7.6459 (Buy signal)

These indicators suggest a strong buy signal across various time frames. (investing.com)

Technical Indicators:

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.699, indicating neutral momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is slightly above the signal line, suggesting a potential upward trend. However, the Stochastic Oscillator is at 34.205, signaling a sell condition. (investing.com)

Forecasts and Predictions

Short-Term Forecasts:

In the immediate future, the MXN/JPY exchange rate is expected to experience slight fluctuations:

• July 3, 2025: Projected to range between 7.6366 and 7.6579, with an average rate of 7.6473 JPY per MXN.
• July 4, 2025: Expected to range between 7.6271 and 7.6527, averaging 7.6399 JPY per MXN.

These projections indicate a minor downward trend in the short term. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Medium-Term Forecasts:

Looking ahead, the exchange rate is anticipated to decline:

• September 2025: Forecasted to reach 6.9900 JPY per MXN.
• December 2025: Expected to be around 6.8145 JPY per MXN.
• March 2026: Projected at 6.6865 JPY per MXN.

These forecasts suggest a gradual depreciation of the Mexican Peso against the Japanese Yen over the next nine months. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Long-Term Forecasts:

Long-term projections indicate a continued decline in the MXN/JPY exchange rate:

• June 2026: Expected to be around 5.83 JPY per MXN.
• September 2026: Projected at 5.66 JPY per MXN.

These estimates reflect a significant depreciation of the Mexican Peso against the Japanese Yen over the next year. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several factors contribute to the fluctuations in the MXN/JPY exchange rate:

• Economic Indicators: Differences in GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rates between Mexico and Japan can impact the exchange rate.
• Geopolitical Events: Political stability, trade agreements, and international relations influence investor confidence and currency valuations.
• Central Bank Policies: Decisions by the Bank of Japan and the Bank of Mexico regarding monetary policy, such as interest rate adjustments and quantitative easing measures, can affect the exchange rate.

Conclusion

The MXN/JPY exchange rate has shown volatility over the past six months, with a slight overall increase. Technical indicators currently suggest a bullish trend; however, medium to long-term forecasts predict a gradual depreciation of the Mexican Peso against the Japanese Yen. Investors should consider these trends and the underlying economic factors when making decisions related to this currency pair.