Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the US Dollar (USD) and the Swedish Krona (SEK) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past several months. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and forecasts to offer a comprehensive understanding of the USD/SEK currency pair.

Recent Trends and Historical Performance

As of July 2, 2025, the USD/SEK exchange rate stands at 9.528 SEK per USD. (ycharts.com) This marks a significant decline from the peak of 11.2252 SEK per USD observed on February 2, 2025, representing a depreciation of approximately 15.18% over a five-month period. (exchangerates.org.uk)

The exchange rate has exhibited considerable volatility during this timeframe. For instance, on June 12, 2025, the rate reached a low of 9.38024 SEK per USD, while earlier in the year, on January 13, 2025, it peaked at 11.3221 SEK per USD. (poundsterlinglive.com) This volatility underscores the dynamic nature of the USD/SEK currency pair.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators provide further insight into the current market sentiment for USD/SEK. As of July 2, 2025, the exchange rate is trading below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) by 0.76% and below its 100-day EMA by 2.38%. Recent signals include a bullish crossover of the 8-day and 21-day EMAs on June 20, 2025, followed by a bearish crossover on June 25, 2025. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is below its signal line, indicating negative momentum and confirming a downtrend. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Forecasts and Market Sentiment

Looking ahead, forecasts suggest a continued depreciation of the USD/SEK exchange rate. Projections indicate the rate may reach 9.4222 by September 2025, 9.2881 by December 2025, and 9.0010 by March 2026. (exchangerates.org.uk) These forecasts are supported by a bearish market sentiment, with 73% of technical analysis indicators signaling bearish signals as of June 5, 2025. (coincodex.com)

Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several factors contribute to the fluctuations in the USD/SEK exchange rate:

• Monetary Policies: Divergent monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Riksbank can influence the exchange rate. For example, if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates while the Riksbank maintains or lowers them, the USD may strengthen against the SEK.

• Economic Indicators: Key economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and employment figures in both the United States and Sweden can impact investor confidence and currency valuations.

• Global Economic Events: Events such as geopolitical tensions, trade agreements, and global financial crises can lead to increased volatility in currency markets, affecting the USD/SEK exchange rate.

Conclusion

The USD/SEK exchange rate has experienced significant fluctuations over the past several months, with a notable depreciation from its peak in early 2025. Technical indicators and market forecasts suggest a continued downward trend in the near future. Investors and market participants should closely monitor economic indicators, monetary policies, and global events that may influence the exchange rate dynamics between the US Dollar and the Swedish Krona.