Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Brazilian Real (BRL) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has exhibited notable fluctuations over the past few months, influenced by various economic indicators, commodity prices, and monetary policies. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and forecasts for the BRL/CAD currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of June 30, 2025, the BRL/CAD exchange rate stood at approximately 0.2505 CAD per 1 BRL. This reflects a 1.56% increase over the past 30 days, indicating a strengthening of the Brazilian Real against the Canadian Dollar. (midforex.com)

In the first quarter of 2025, the exchange rate experienced a downward trend:

• January 1, 2025: 1 CAD = 4.3823 BRL
• March 19, 2025: 1 CAD = 3.9458 BRL

This represents a depreciation of approximately 10% in the value of the Canadian Dollar relative to the Brazilian Real during this period. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Technical Indicators

As of June 27, 2025, technical analysis of the BRL/CAD pair indicates a "Strong Buy" signal:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 58.57 (Buy)
• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD 12,26): 0.001 (Buy)
• Average Directional Index (ADX 14): 27.074 (Buy)

These indicators suggest bullish momentum in the BRL/CAD exchange rate. (uk.investing.com)

Forecasts

Forecasts for the BRL/CAD exchange rate over the next year suggest a gradual appreciation of the Brazilian Real against the Canadian Dollar:

• September 2025: 0.2410 CAD per 1 BRL
• December 2025: 0.2353 CAD per 1 BRL
• March 2026: 0.2299 CAD per 1 BRL

These projections indicate a potential decline in the BRL/CAD exchange rate over the next nine months. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Influencing Factors

Several factors may have contributed to the observed fluctuations in the BRL/CAD exchange rate:

1. Economic Indicators:

   • Canada: Changes in GDP growth, inflation rates, and employment figures can impact the strength of the Canadian Dollar.
   • Brazil: Similarly, Brazil's economic performance, including its trade balance and fiscal policies, influences the Real's value.

2. Commodity Prices:

   • Canada is a major exporter of commodities such as oil and minerals. Fluctuations in global commodity prices can affect the Canadian economy and, consequently, the CAD.

3. Monetary Policies:

   • Decisions by the Bank of Canada and the Central Bank of Brazil regarding interest rates and monetary policies can lead to capital flows that impact exchange rates.

4. Political Events:

   • Political stability and policy changes in either country can influence investor confidence and currency valuations.

Conclusion

The BRL/CAD exchange rate has experienced fluctuations influenced by a combination of economic indicators, commodity prices, monetary policies, and political events. Technical indicators currently suggest bullish momentum, while forecasts indicate a potential decline in the exchange rate over the next year. Investors and businesses engaged in transactions between Canada and Brazil should monitor these factors closely to make informed decisions.