Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past year, influenced by various economic factors and monetary policies. This report provides an in-depth analysis of the CAD/CHF exchange rate, examining recent trends, technical indicators, and fundamental factors affecting the currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of June 27, 2025, the CAD/CHF exchange rate stood at 0.5858, reflecting a downward trend from earlier in the year. For instance, on January 21, 2025, the exchange rate was 0.63229, indicating a depreciation of the Canadian Dollar against the Swiss Franc over this period. (ycharts.com, exchangerates.org.uk)

Technical Analysis

Moving Averages and Momentum Indicators

Technical indicators suggest a bearish momentum for the CAD/CHF pair:

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): As of July 2, 2025, the CAD/CHF rate was trading below its 21-day EMA by 1.26%, below its 50-day EMA by 2.05%, and below its 100-day EMA by 2.94%. The 8-day EMA was sloping downward, signaling continued bearish momentum. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below its signal line, indicating negative momentum and confirming a downtrend. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Support and Resistance Levels

The long-term trend for CAD/CHF has been consistently bearish, with the pair approaching critical support levels:

• Support Levels: The pair is currently near historical lows around 0.61 – 0.62. A drop below 0.60 would confirm a continuation of the decades-long downtrend. (kagels-trading.com)

• Resistance Levels: A break above 0.70 could signal a trend reversal, while 0.80 serves as a long-term resistance level. (kagels-trading.com)

Fundamental Analysis

Monetary Policies

The monetary policies of the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) significantly influence the CAD/CHF exchange rate:

• Bank of Canada (BoC): In response to slowing economic growth and stable inflation near its 2% target, the BoC cut its interest rate to 3.25% in December 2024, marking the second consecutive 50 basis point cut that year. This aggressive easing aimed to stimulate the economy but also contributed to the weakening of the CAD. (fastbull.com)

• Swiss National Bank (SNB): The SNB also cut its interest rate to 0.50% in December 2024 to support the domestic economy amid weak growth and deflationary pressures. Despite this, the CHF maintained its strength due to its status as a safe-haven currency, especially amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. (fastbull.com)

Economic Indicators

Several economic indicators have impacted the CAD/CHF exchange rate:

• Canada: GDP growth in Q3 2024 was 1.2%, below the forecast of 1.5%, and the unemployment rate rose to 6.8%, a three-year high. These factors prompted the BoC's rate cuts. (fastbull.com)

• Switzerland: Swiss GDP growth in 2024 was projected at 1.2%, below the long-term average of 1.8%. However, the CHF's safe-haven status provided resilience against economic downturns. (fastbull.com)

Commodity Prices

As a major oil exporter, Canada's currency is sensitive to oil price fluctuations. Although oil prices rose slightly over the past week, the recovery was insufficient to offset the pressure from the BoC’s loose monetary policy, leading to a weakening of the CAD against the CHF. (fastbull.com)

Forecasts and Outlook

Analysts have provided various forecasts for the CAD/CHF exchange rate:

• Short-Term Forecasts: As of July 2, 2025, the CAD/CHF rate was 0.5816. Projections for Q3 and Q4 2025 suggest an average rate of 0.625, indicating a potential appreciation of the CAD. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Long-Term Forecasts: Predictions for 2026 range from 0.64 in Q2 to 0.66 in Q3, suggesting a gradual strengthening of the CAD against the CHF. (exchangerates.org.uk)

However, some forecasts indicate a potential decline, with the CAD/CHF rate projected to reach as low as 0.5166 in October 2025. (coincodex.com)

Conclusion

The CAD/CHF exchange rate has been influenced by a combination of monetary policies, economic indicators, and commodity prices. While technical indicators currently suggest a bearish trend, forecasts indicate potential appreciation of the CAD in the coming quarters. Investors should monitor central bank policies, economic data releases, and global market conditions to make informed decisions regarding the CAD/CHF currency pair.