Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the Brazilian Real (BRL) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months, influenced by various economic factors and market dynamics. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and future projections for the EUR/BRL currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of March 18, 2025, the EUR/BRL exchange rate stood at 6.209 BRL per Euro, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.24% from the previous market day. This rate represents a 14.18% increase compared to the same date one year prior, when the exchange rate was 5.438 BRL per Euro.

Over the past six months, the EUR/BRL exchange rate has exhibited significant volatility. The highest recorded rate during this period was 7.0022 BRL per Euro on December 25, 2024, while the lowest was 5.9445 BRL per Euro on February 18, 2025. The average exchange rate over these six months was approximately 6.1982 BRL per Euro.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators as of March 27, 2025, suggest a strong buy signal for the EUR/BRL currency pair. Key indicators include:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 54.291 (Neutral)
• Stochastic Oscillator (STOCH 9,6): 64.04 (Buy)
• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD 12,26): 0.01 (Buy)
• Average Directional Index (ADX 14): 23.486 (Buy)
• Williams %R: -43.07 (Buy)
• Commodity Channel Index (CCI 14): 39.9515 (Neutral)

Moving averages also indicate a buy signal, with the 20-day simple moving average at 6.1931 and the 50-day simple moving average at 6.1743.

Forecasts and Projections

Short-term forecasts suggest a slight decrease in the EUR/BRL exchange rate. For instance, projections indicate a potential drop from 6.209 to 6.190, representing a change of -0.299%.

Long-term projections, however, anticipate a gradual increase in the exchange rate. By the end of 2025, the average rate is expected to be around 6.6447 BRL per Euro, with a range between 6.6115 and 6.6780. By 2030, the average rate is projected to reach 7.1005 BRL per Euro, with a range between 6.9585 and 7.2425.

Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several factors contribute to the fluctuations in the EUR/BRL exchange rate:

• Economic Indicators: Differences in economic growth rates, inflation, and employment figures between the Eurozone and Brazil can impact the exchange rate.
• Monetary Policies: Decisions by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Central Bank of Brazil regarding interest rates and monetary policies influence investor confidence and capital flows.
• Political Stability: Political events and stability in both regions can affect market perceptions and currency valuations.
• Commodity Prices: Brazil's economy is significantly influenced by commodity exports. Fluctuations in commodity prices can impact the BRL's strength relative to the EUR.

Conclusion

The EUR/BRL exchange rate has shown considerable volatility over the past months, influenced by a complex interplay of economic indicators, monetary policies, and external factors. While short-term forecasts suggest a slight decrease, long-term projections anticipate a gradual appreciation of the Euro against the Brazilian Real. Investors and businesses engaged in transactions involving these currencies should closely monitor these trends and consider the underlying factors affecting the exchange rate.