Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Brazilian Real (BRL) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report provides an analysis of the JPY/BRL exchange rate trends, key influencing factors, and future projections.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of July 2, 2025, the JPY/BRL exchange rate stands at approximately 0.0379, indicating that one Japanese Yen is equivalent to 0.0379 Brazilian Reais. (wise.com) Over the past six months, the exchange rate has exhibited the following key points:

• Highest Rate: 0.04165 BRL per JPY on March 4, 2025. (exchange-rates.org)

• Lowest Rate: 0.03729 BRL per JPY on February 4, 2025. (exchange-rates.org)

• Average Rate: Approximately 0.03882 BRL per JPY during this period. (exchange-rates.org)

These figures indicate a general depreciation of the Japanese Yen against the Brazilian Real, with a decline of about 5.09% over the six-month period. (exchange-rates.org)

Factors Influencing the JPY/BRL Exchange Rate

Several factors have contributed to the observed fluctuations in the JPY/BRL exchange rate:

1. Economic Indicators: Japan's economic performance, including GDP growth, inflation rates, and trade balances, directly impacts the value of the Yen. Similarly, Brazil's economic indicators, such as commodity export performance and inflation rates, influence the Real. Divergences in these indicators can lead to exchange rate volatility.

2. Monetary Policies: Decisions by the Bank of Japan and the Central Bank of Brazil regarding interest rates and monetary policies affect investor confidence and capital flows, thereby impacting the exchange rate.

3. Global Market Sentiment: Risk appetite among global investors can lead to shifts in capital flows between emerging markets like Brazil and developed markets like Japan, influencing their respective currencies.

4. Commodity Prices: Brazil's economy is significantly influenced by commodity exports. Fluctuations in global commodity prices can affect the Real's strength relative to the Yen.

Technical Analysis

As of June 29, 2025, technical indicators provide the following insights:

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):

  • The JPY/BRL rate is trading below its 21-day EMA by 0.58% and below its 50-day EMA by 1.69%, indicating bearish momentum.
  • A bearish crossover of the 50-day and 100-day EMAs occurred on June 13, 2025, further signaling potential downward movement. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

  • The MACD line is above its signal line, suggesting positive momentum and confirming an uptrend. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Future Projections

Forecasts for the JPY/BRL exchange rate suggest a gradual appreciation of the Yen against the Real:

• Q3 2025: Projected average rate of 0.0407 BRL per JPY.

• Q4 2025: Projected average rate of 0.0424 BRL per JPY.

• Q1 2026: Projected average rate of 0.0432 BRL per JPY.

• Q2 2026: Projected average rate of 0.0469 BRL per JPY.

• Q3 2026: Projected average rate of 0.0505 BRL per JPY. (exchangerates.org.uk)

These projections indicate a potential upward trend for the Yen against the Real over the next year.

Conclusion

The JPY/BRL exchange rate has experienced a downward trend over the past six months, influenced by various economic and market factors. Technical indicators currently suggest bearish momentum, but future projections indicate a potential appreciation of the Yen against the Real. Investors and businesses engaged in transactions between Japan and Brazil should monitor these trends closely and consider both technical signals and fundamental economic indicators when making decisions.