Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and forecasts for the JPY/CHF currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of July 2, 2025, the JPY/CHF exchange rate stood at approximately 0.5510, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous day's close of 0.5515. Over the past year, the pair has seen a decline of about 1.27%. (investing.com)

In 2025, the exchange rate reached its highest point on February 21 at 0.006017 and its lowest on June 27 at 0.005521. The average rate for the year has been around 0.005807, indicating a downward trend over the period. (exchange-rates.org)

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators as of June 27, 2025, suggest a bearish outlook for the JPY/CHF pair:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 40.498 (Sell)
• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD 12,26): -0.001 (Sell)
• Average Directional Index (ADX 14): 30.478 (Sell)
• Moving Averages: All short-term and long-term moving averages indicate a 'Sell' signal.

These indicators collectively point towards a strong sell recommendation for the JPY/CHF pair at that time. (investing.com)

Forecasts and Future Outlook

Analysts forecast a gradual appreciation of the JPY against the CHF in the coming months:

• September 2025: Expected to reach 0.0061
• December 2025: Projected to remain at 0.0061
• March 2026: Anticipated to rise to 0.0062

These projections suggest a potential reversal of the current downward trend, with the JPY gaining strength against the CHF over the next year. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several factors have contributed to the recent movements in the JPY/CHF exchange rate:

• Monetary Policies: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a hawkish stance, keeping interest rates near 1.75% to combat persistent inflation. In contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has been more gradual in tightening its monetary policy, resulting in a yield advantage for the CHF. (liveindex.org)

• Economic Indicators: Japan's economic recovery has been slower compared to Switzerland, influencing investor confidence and demand for the respective currencies.

• Global Market Sentiment: The CHF is often considered a safe-haven currency, attracting investors during periods of global uncertainty, which can lead to an appreciation against the JPY.

Conclusion

The JPY/CHF exchange rate has been on a downward trajectory in recent months, influenced by differing monetary policies and economic conditions in Japan and Switzerland. Technical indicators currently suggest a bearish outlook; however, forecasts indicate a potential strengthening of the JPY against the CHF in the coming year. Investors should monitor central bank policies, economic data releases, and global market developments to make informed decisions regarding this currency pair.