Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) is a critical indicator for investors, businesses, and policymakers engaged in the UK and Swiss markets. Over the past few months, the GBP/CHF currency pair has exhibited notable fluctuations, influenced by various economic indicators, monetary policies, and global events. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and future projections for the GBP/CHF exchange rate.

Recent Trends and Historical Performance

Between September 2024 and March 2025, the GBP/CHF exchange rate experienced a range of movements. The highest recorded rate during this period was 1.1482 CHF per GBP on March 5, 2025, while the lowest was 1.1080 CHF per GBP on September 10, 2024. The average exchange rate over these six months stood at approximately 1.1257 CHF per GBP.

In the first quarter of 2025, the GBP/CHF pair demonstrated relative stability, with minor fluctuations around the 1.14 mark. For instance, on March 14, 2025, the exchange rate closed at 1.1446, marking a 0.25% increase from the previous day.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators provide insights into the potential future movements of the GBP/CHF exchange rate. As of March 27, 2025, the following observations were made:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI was at 54.893, indicating a neutral position.

• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD (12,26) stood at 0, suggesting a buy signal.

• Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX (14) was at 49.36, pointing towards a strong trend.

• Moving Averages: The 5-day simple moving average (SMA) was at 1.1426, signaling a sell, while the 10-day SMA at 1.1427 also indicated a sell.

These mixed signals suggest a period of consolidation, with no clear directional bias in the short term.

Forecasts and Projections

Looking ahead, various forecasts provide insights into the potential trajectory of the GBP/CHF exchange rate:

• Short-Term Forecast: In the next three months, the exchange rate is expected to hover around 1.14, indicating minimal change from the current levels.

• Medium-Term Forecast: Over the next six months, projections suggest a slight appreciation of the GBP against the CHF, with the exchange rate potentially reaching 1.155.

• Long-Term Forecast: Some analyses predict a decline in the GBP/CHF rate to approximately 1.097, reflecting a potential depreciation of the GBP relative to the CHF.

These forecasts underscore the importance of monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments that could influence currency movements.

Factors Influencing the GBP/CHF Exchange Rate

Several factors contribute to the fluctuations in the GBP/CHF exchange rate:

1. Monetary Policies: Decisions by the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank regarding interest rates and quantitative easing measures directly impact currency valuations.

2. Economic Indicators: Key metrics such as GDP growth, employment rates, and inflation in both the UK and Switzerland influence investor confidence and currency demand.

3. Political Stability: Political events, including elections, referendums, and policy changes, can lead to market volatility and affect exchange rates.

4. Global Economic Conditions: External factors such as global trade dynamics, commodity prices, and economic performance of major trading partners also play a role in currency fluctuations.

Conclusion

The GBP/CHF exchange rate has exhibited relative stability in recent months, with technical indicators suggesting a period of consolidation. While short-term forecasts indicate minimal changes, medium to long-term projections vary, highlighting the potential for both appreciation and depreciation of the GBP against the CHF. Stakeholders should remain vigilant, considering the multifaceted factors that influence currency movements, and adopt strategies that account for potential volatility in the forex market.