Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and forecasts to offer a comprehensive understanding of the GBP/CHF currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

Over the past six months, the GBP/CHF exchange rate has exhibited significant volatility. The highest recorded rate during this period was 1.15029 CHF per GBP on March 6, 2025, while the lowest was 1.06125 CHF per GBP on April 11, 2025. As of July 2, 2025, the exchange rate stands at approximately 1.0960 CHF per GBP, reflecting a decrease of 0.24% from the previous day's close. (poundsterlinglive.com)

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators provide insights into the potential future movements of the GBP/CHF exchange rate. As of July 2, 2025, the exchange rate is trading below its 8-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) by 0.89%, below its 21-day EMA by 1.43%, below its 50-day EMA by 1.89%, and below its 100-day EMA by 2.33%. Recent signals include multiple bearish and bullish crossovers between the 8-day and 21-day EMAs, indicating a period of consolidation with no clear directional bias. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is below its signal line, suggesting negative momentum and confirming a downtrend. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Forecasts and Projections

Looking ahead, various forecasts provide insights into the potential trajectory of the GBP/CHF exchange rate:

• Short-Term Forecast (Next 3 Months): The exchange rate is expected to reach 1.0800 by September 2025, indicating a slight decrease from current levels. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Medium-Term Forecast (Next 6 Months): Projections suggest the exchange rate will trade at 1.0650 by December 2025, reflecting a further decline. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Long-Term Forecast (Next 12 Months): Analysts predict the exchange rate will be around 1.1000 by March 2026, indicating a potential recovery. (exchangerates.org.uk)

These forecasts underscore the importance of monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments that could influence currency movements.

Factors Influencing GBP/CHF Exchange Rate

Several factors contribute to the fluctuations in the GBP/CHF exchange rate:

• Economic Indicators: Differences in economic performance between the UK and Switzerland, such as GDP growth, employment rates, and inflation, can impact the exchange rate.

• Monetary Policy: Decisions by the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank regarding interest rates and quantitative easing influence investor sentiment and currency valuation.

• Political Stability: Political events, including elections and policy changes, can affect market confidence and, consequently, the exchange rate.

• Global Market Sentiment: As a safe-haven currency, the Swiss Franc often appreciates during periods of global uncertainty, affecting the GBP/CHF pair.

Conclusion

The GBP/CHF exchange rate has experienced notable volatility over the past few months, influenced by a combination of technical factors and broader economic conditions. While short-term forecasts suggest a slight decline, medium to long-term projections indicate potential stabilization and recovery. Investors and traders should remain vigilant, considering both technical indicators and fundamental factors when making decisions related to this currency pair.