Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the Swiss Franc (CHF) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report provides an in-depth analysis of the recent trends, underlying economic factors, and technical indicators influencing the AUD/CHF currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

Over the past six months, the AUD/CHF exchange rate has exhibited significant volatility. Key observations include:

• Highs and Lows: The exchange rate reached a peak of 0.5752 CHF per AUD on February 20, 2025, and a low of 0.5042 CHF per AUD on April 8, 2025. (exchange-rates.org)

• Current Rate: As of June 27, 2025, the exchange rate stood at 0.5225 CHF per AUD. (ycharts.com)

• Year-to-Date Performance: The AUD has depreciated by approximately 6.71% against the CHF over the past six months. (exchange-rates.org)

Fundamental Analysis

Several economic indicators and policy decisions have influenced the AUD/CHF exchange rate:

• Interest Rate Differentials: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains an interest rate of 4.1%, significantly higher than the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) rate of 0.25%. This substantial interest rate differential typically favors the AUD, as higher yields attract investors seeking better returns. (traders.mba)

• Inflation Rates: Australia's year-on-year inflation rate stands at 2.4%, compared to Switzerland's exceptionally low rate of 0.3%. Higher inflation in Australia may lead to expectations of tighter monetary policy, potentially strengthening the AUD. (traders.mba)

• Economic Growth: Australia reported a quarterly GDP growth of 0.6%, outperforming Switzerland's 0.2% growth. This indicates a more robust economic momentum in Australia, which can bolster the AUD. (traders.mba)

• Current Account Balances: Switzerland's current account surplus of 7.6% of GDP contrasts with Australia's deficit of 2.1%. A surplus typically strengthens a currency, as it reflects net foreign income. (traders.mba)

Sentiment Analysis

Market sentiment plays a crucial role in currency movements:

• Risk Appetite: Improving global risk sentiment has favored higher-yielding currencies like the AUD. As investors seek better returns, the demand for the AUD increases. (traders.mba)

• Safe-Haven Demand: The CHF's status as a safe-haven currency means it appreciates during periods of market uncertainty. Recent geopolitical tensions and trade conflicts have bolstered demand for the CHF. (bestexchangerates.com)

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators provide insights into potential future movements of the AUD/CHF pair:

• Moving Averages: As of June 27, 2025, the AUD/CHF was trading below its 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), indicating bearish momentum. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI is at 49.95, suggesting neutral conditions without clear overbought or oversold signals. (coincodex.com)

• MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is below its signal line, indicating negative momentum and confirming a downtrend. (exchangerates.org.uk)

Forecasts and Outlook

Analysts have provided varying forecasts for the AUD/CHF exchange rate:

• Short-Term Forecasts: Some forecasts predict the AUD/CHF exchange rate to reach 0.54 by September 2025, 0.55 by December 2025, and 0.56 by March 2026. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Long-Term Forecasts: Other analyses suggest a potential decline, with the exchange rate possibly reaching 0.4661 CHF per AUD over the next year. (coincodex.com)

Conclusion

The AUD/CHF exchange rate is influenced by a complex interplay of economic fundamentals, market sentiment, and technical factors. While Australia's higher interest rates and economic growth provide support for the AUD, Switzerland's current account surplus and the CHF's safe-haven status offer counterbalancing forces. Technical indicators currently suggest bearish momentum, but forecasts remain mixed. Investors should monitor these factors closely and consider both fundamental and technical analyses when making decisions related to the AUD/CHF currency pair.