Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) has experienced notable fluctuations over the past few months, influenced by various economic factors and monetary policies from both countries. This report provides an analysis of the recent trends, technical indicators, and future outlook for the AUD/JPY currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of March 18, 2025, the AUD/JPY exchange rate stood at approximately 95.2965. (google.com) Over the preceding months, the pair exhibited significant volatility. In January 2025, the exchange rate reached a high of 99.164 on January 7. However, by March 11, it had declined to a low of 91.832. (poundsterlinglive.com) This downward trend reflects a depreciation of the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen during this period.

Technical Analysis

On March 15, 2025, technical indicators for AUD/JPY suggested a strong buy signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 62.975, indicating bullish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a value of 0.16, supporting a buy action. Additionally, the Average Directional Index (ADX) stood at 54.06, signifying a strong trend. (investing.com)

Moving averages also supported a bullish outlook. The 5-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) was at 93.92, while the 10-day SMA was at 93.90, both indicating buy signals. Longer-term moving averages, such as the 50-day and 100-day SMAs, were at 93.42 and 93.16, respectively, further reinforcing the positive trend. (investing.com)

Economic Factors Influencing AUD/JPY

Several economic developments have impacted the AUD/JPY exchange rate:

• Australia: On February 17, 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reduced interest rates from 4.35% to 4.10%, marking the first easing in four years. Despite the cut, the RBA's cautious stance on further rate reductions helped stabilize the AUD near a two-month high. (fastbull.com)

• Japan: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) faced rising inflation and stable economic growth. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Q4 2024 indicated economic recovery, with inflation around 3%. The BoJ's likely decision to maintain its current monetary policy to support growth could influence the strength of the JPY. (fastbull.com)

Forecast and Outlook

Forecasts for the AUD/JPY pair suggest potential appreciation. In three months, the exchange rate is expected to rise to 102.83, a 9.21% increase from the current rate. In six months, it is projected to reach 104.06, representing a 10.52% increase. (exchangerates.org.uk)

However, other analyses predict a decline. For instance, a forecast anticipates the exchange rate to decrease by 1.20% in the next month, dropping from the current rate of ¥94.06 to ¥92.94. (coincodex.com)

Conclusion

The AUD/JPY exchange rate has experienced significant fluctuations influenced by monetary policies and economic conditions in both Australia and Japan. Technical indicators as of mid-March 2025 suggest a bullish trend, supported by moving averages and momentum indicators. Economic developments, such as the RBA's interest rate cut and Japan's economic recovery, play crucial roles in shaping the currency pair's performance. While some forecasts predict appreciation, others anticipate a decline, highlighting the importance of monitoring ongoing economic indicators and central bank policies for informed decision-making.