Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the Swedish Krona (SEK) has exhibited notable fluctuations over the past several months. Understanding these movements requires an examination of recent trends, technical indicators, and economic factors influencing both currencies.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

Over the past six months, the AUD/SEK exchange rate has experienced significant volatility. On January 15, 2025, the rate peaked at 6.9560 SEK per AUD. However, by April 8, 2025, it had declined to a low of 5.9514 SEK per AUD. This represents a depreciation of approximately 14.4% over that period. As of June 27, 2025, the exchange rate stood at 6.1982 SEK per AUD, indicating a partial recovery from the April low. (exchange-rates.org)

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators provide insights into the potential future movements of the AUD/SEK exchange rate:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): As of June 30, 2025, the 14-day RSI was at 58.44, suggesting a bullish momentum without indicating overbought conditions. (investing.com)

• Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) was at 6.2096, while the 200-day SMA stood at 6.2159, both above the current exchange rate, indicating potential resistance levels. (investing.com)

• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line was slightly above the signal line, hinting at a potential bullish crossover. (investing.com)

These indicators collectively suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for the AUD/SEK pair in the near term.

Economic Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate

Several economic factors have influenced the AUD/SEK exchange rate:

• Interest Rate Differentials: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Sveriges Riksbank (Swedish central bank) have maintained differing monetary policies. Any changes in interest rates by either central bank can affect the attractiveness of their respective currencies.

• Commodity Prices: Australia's economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports. Fluctuations in global commodity prices, particularly for iron ore and coal, can impact the AUD's value.

• Economic Data Releases: Indicators such as GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation rates from both countries influence investor sentiment and currency valuations.

Forecasts and Projections

Analysts have provided various forecasts for the AUD/SEK exchange rate:

• Short-Term Forecasts: Predictions for the next three months suggest the exchange rate could reach 6.22 SEK per AUD by September 2025. (exchangerates.org.uk)

• Long-Term Forecasts: Looking further ahead, some projections estimate the exchange rate could average around 6.6524 SEK per AUD over the next five years. (midforex.com)

It's important to note that exchange rate forecasts are subject to change based on evolving economic conditions and geopolitical events.

Conclusion

The AUD/SEK exchange rate has shown considerable volatility in recent months, influenced by a combination of technical factors and economic fundamentals. While technical indicators suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook, ongoing monitoring of economic developments in both Australia and Sweden is essential for a comprehensive understanding of future exchange rate movements.