Exchange Rate Calculator

The exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the Singapore Dollar (SGD) has exhibited notable fluctuations over the past few months. This report delves into the recent trends, technical indicators, and underlying factors influencing the AUD/SGD currency pair.

Recent Exchange Rate Trends

As of July 3, 2025, the AUD/SGD exchange rate stands at approximately 0.8351, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1% from the previous day's close. Over the past week, the rate has oscillated between a high of 0.8358 and a low of 0.8269, marking a 0.58% change. Year-to-date, the highest recorded rate was 0.8546, indicating a 2.34% increase from the current level. (poundsterlinglive.com)

Technical Analysis

Moving Averages:

• Short-Term (5-day): The simple moving average (SMA) is at 0.8330, suggesting a buy signal.
• Medium-Term (50-day): The SMA stands at 0.8337, indicating a sell signal.
• Long-Term (200-day): The SMA is at 0.8326, pointing towards a buy signal. (investing.com)

Oscillators:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): At 47.377, the RSI is in neutral territory.
• MACD (12,26): The MACD value is 0, suggesting a sell signal.
• Stochastic Oscillator (9,6): At 39.783, it indicates a sell signal. (investing.com)

The mixed signals from these indicators suggest a cautious approach, with short-term bullishness tempered by medium-term bearishness.

Factors Influencing the AUD/SGD Exchange Rate

Commodity Prices:

Australia's economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, including iron ore, coal, and gold. Fluctuations in global demand and prices for these commodities directly impact the AUD. A decline in commodity prices can weaken the AUD, affecting its exchange rate against the SGD. (stocksdownunder.com)

Economic Policies and Interest Rates:

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) play pivotal roles in shaping the exchange rate. As of November 2023, Australia's cash rate was at 4.35%, the highest since April 2012. In contrast, Singapore manages its currency through exchange rate targeting, maintaining relative stability. These differing approaches influence the AUD/SGD dynamics. (stocksdownunder.com)

Global Risk Sentiment:

The AUD is often viewed as a "risk-on" currency, performing well during periods of global economic optimism. Conversely, the SGD is considered more stable, attracting investors during times of uncertainty. Recent geopolitical tensions and economic slowdowns have led to increased demand for stable currencies like the SGD, impacting the AUD/SGD exchange rate. (mydayfinance.com)

Forecasts and Projections

Short-Term Forecasts:

• 5-Day Prediction: The AUD/SGD rate is forecasted to reach 0.846396, indicating a potential increase.
• 1-Month Prediction: A further rise to 0.850113 is anticipated. (coincodex.com)

Long-Term Forecasts:

• End of 2025: The average rate is projected to be S$0.8332, with a range between S$0.8290 and S$0.8373.
• End of 2026: An average rate of S$0.8423 is expected, ranging from S$0.8381 to S$0.8465. (midforex.com)

These projections suggest a gradual appreciation of the AUD against the SGD over the next couple of years.

Conclusion

The AUD/SGD exchange rate is influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including commodity prices, monetary policies, and global risk sentiment. While technical indicators provide mixed signals, forecasts suggest a potential appreciation of the AUD in the short to medium term. Investors should remain vigilant, considering both macroeconomic developments and technical analyses when making decisions related to this currency pair.